Using phenomenological models for forecasting the 2015 Ebola challenge

ConclusionsOur findings further support the consideration of transmission models that incorporate flexible early epidemic growth profiles in the forecasting toolkit. Such models are particularly useful for quickly evaluating a developing infectious disease outbreak using only case incidence time series of the early phase of an infectious disease outbreak.

Source: Epidemics - July 11, 2018 Category: Epidemiology Source Type: research