Approximate Bayesian algorithm to estimate the basic reproduction number in an influenza pandemic using arrival times of imported cases

In an influenza pandemic, arrival times of cases are a proxy of the epidemic size and disease transmissibility. Because of intense surveillance of travelers from infected countries, detection is more rapid and complete than on local surveillance. Travel information can provide a more reliable estimation of transmission parameters.
Source: Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease - Category: Infectious Diseases Authors: Source Type: research