The Wisdom of Crowds of Doctors: Their Average Predictions Outperform Their Individual Ones

Conclusions. Averaging clinician predictions may have merit over individual clinician predictions but still not reasonably replace a carefully built statistical model. However, averaging clinician predictions could prove helpful in situations where statistical models do not yet exist or where existing models are inadequate.

Source: Medical Decision Making - March 30, 2016 Category: Health Management Authors: Kattan, M. W., ORourke, C., Yu, C., Chagin, K. Tags: Original Articles Source Type: research